[Earnings Updates] Bakery sector faces broad revenue declines and cautious outlooks in Q1

Sander Koole
Published on
May 28, 2025

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What was the performance of the bakery industry in Q1 2025?

Let's have a look at the overall results.

🔴 Revenue growth: Sales trends were broadly negative, with the majority of companies experiencing year-over-year revenue declines due to volume losses, unfavorable pricing/mix, and strategic divestitures. Organic growth, where present, was often modest and uneven across regions.

🔴 Profitability: Profitability sentiment was largely negative. Many companies reported sharp declines in operating income or net profit, citing higher input costs, margin pressure, and unfavorable mix. Only a few managed to grow profits through cost control or category performance.

🟡 Market dynamics: Macroeconomic and consumer sentiment indicators remain mixed. Inflation, weak consumer demand, and volatile input costs weighed on performance, though some regions or segments showed resilience or stabilization.

🟡 Growth outlook: Forward-looking revenue guidance is cautious. While some companies expect moderate growth, many are withholding specific guidance or anticipating only slight improvements, reflecting market volatility and consumer uncertainty.

🟡 Profitability outlook: Profit guidance is limited and conservative. Firms are emphasizing cost management and operational efficiency but are hesitant to provide firm forecasts due to macro uncertainty and internal transitions like M&A activity.

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