Market Monitoring Dairy Industry: Insights January 2022

Mathieu Geuskens
Published on
April 21, 2022

In this monthly dairy industry update, our analysts will share valuable insights about the dairy industry. This month: the trade volume of Dutch cheeses (Gouda, Maasdam, Edam) is down 7.4% in January 2022 compared to January 2021, prices are up 22.2%.

Market Monitoring of the dairy industry

Market monitoring helps agri-food companies objectively evaluate their current position within the market and the development of that position. Furthermore, it helps to spot new growth opportunities and whether the market is saturated.

For the A-INSIGHTS MarketMonitor, we analyze the global trade in dairy products on a monthly basis. Derived from local customs agencies and statistics offices, the data gives us insight into monthly trade volumes and prices for all major importers and exporters. Combined with our sector expertise, we can provide you with an up-to-date view of the developments in the global dairy market. 

Export volumes decline and prices soar as milk supply drops

The effects of the decreased milk production in Western Europe continue to show in the global trade in Dutch cheeses: the monthly trading volume in January 2022 dropped 7.4% year-over-year, marking the lowest volume for January since 2015. Whilst volumes are at a record low, prices soar to a record high due to scarcity and increasing input costs. At €4.35/kg, January trading prices increased 22.2% year-over-year (+0.5% compared to December 2021).

Total export
Figure 1. Total export Dutch cheeses (Gouda, Edam, Maasdam) January, tonnes and €/kg

Western European exports decline, price increase varies

As is expected, the majority of the export decline is found in the major producers The Netherlands (-9.3%) and Germany (-6.3%). Most notably, the price of German exports increases substantially more than that of exports by the Netherlands. Furthermore, increased exports by New Zealand are noticable, as raw milk production declined by 3.2% in the final quarter of 2021. This is a comparable decline to both the Netherlands (-3.9%) and Germany (-3.0%), but New Zealand still manages to increase export volumes by 13.7%. Poland utilizes its increased milk production (+0.9%) to further increase export volumes at a substantially higher price than in January 2021.

Top exporters
Figure 2. Top 5 exporters Dutch cheeses (Gouda, Edam, Maasdam) November, tonnes and €/kg

Imports increase mainly in Southern Europe

Whilst imports by Western European countries such as Germany, the Netherlands and Belgium declined in January, Southern European countries such as Spain, Italy, and France increase imports despite the steep price increases. Most notable is the 16.0% increase of Dutch cheeses imported by Spain, whilst the average price increased from €3.28/kg in January 2021 to €4.16/kg in January 2022 (+26.8%). Although still substantially lower than during the export peak in 2020 and the start of 2021, imports by Japan stand out in terms of pricing: at €3.41/kg, the average import price is 21.6% lower than the average trade price of €4.35.

Top importers
Figure 3. Top 10 importers Dutch cheeses (Gouda, Edam, Maasdam) January, tonnes and €/kg

Curious how A-INSIGHTS can help you to incorporate objective insights into your decision-making processes and how our Performance Monitor will empower your perspective? Schedule a call.

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