[Market Monitor October] Where is frozen potato consumption headed?

Jurre de Haan
Published on
October 23, 2025

Global frozen potato consumption outlook: updated consumption view available!

The numbers are in and they reveal more than just trends. Our latest global consumption forecast for frozen processed potatoes highlights shifting demand dynamics that are already reshaping the industry landscape.

From evolving consumer behaviour to regional growth hotspots, this update is packed with strategic insights to help you stay ahead in a rapidly changing market.

This month’s focus: where is frozen potato consumption headed?

Forget trade flows for a moment. This month, we’re zooming in on what really matters: consumption. Ready to explore where future demand is taking shape? Let’s dive in.

Key Insights from the updated forecast

2025: Slightly softer than expected

  • Global potato consumption is projected to grow +2.3% versus 2024, yet it’s -0.6% below earlier expectations
  • Sticky high prices kept products relatively expensive through late 2024 and early 2025, dampening appetite in a still inflation-sensitive market
  • The good news? Global trade volumes are rebounding after notable price corrections, returning to 2024 levels following a sluggish Q1

Looking ahead: solid growth through 2030

  • Our long-term outlook remains strong: 3.0% annual growth expected through 2030
  • The IMF’s latest projections suggest a smaller drag from trade policies in 2025–2026 than previously expected, reinforcing the positive long-term trajectory
  • Emerging regions are set to drive half of total volume growth, but achieving the 3.0% target will hinge on how prices evolve.

A growing gap between supply and demand, however...

  • Delays in planned capacity expansions are emerging
  • Meanwhile, rising self-sufficiency in key emerging markets is cutting reliance on imports – a trend that could reshape opportunities for European exporters.

Figure 1. Demand forecast in million tons – split by segment; Retail, QSR, and Foodservice

Closing thought: why consumption monitoring is your strategic edge

As global consumption patterns evolve, businesses that actively track these shifts can unlock new opportunities. Next to our monthly trade flow monitoring, we also update a consumption outlook twice a year – offering robust, data-driven consumption forecasts you can count on.

At A-INSIGHTS, we combine local data sources with market expertise to give you a detailed picture of demand trends across segments (Retail, QSR, Foodservice) and regions. Our updated consumption model supports confident decision-making for sourcing, expansion, and customer engagement.

🚀 Want to know how these insights fit into your 2025 and beyond strategy?

We’re here to help. Schedule a call to discuss how our data can drive your next move.

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